Causal- doorknob9

I could use some help getting started, Professor. Here’s what I have so far. Since I’m researching the reason why Jared Goff is the worst NFC West quarterback to play in the Super Bowl and also researching stats about other bad post season/Super Bowl appearances, I believe poor quarterback play in the playoff games leading up to the Super Bowl cause the quarterbacks to play poorly in the Super Bowl itself. Of course I’m going to need to do further research regarding this topic, but from the Football Data Base website that records every NFL game’s statistics, that’s what seems to be the case. There are also many outliers who have just not performed well in the Super Bowl, whether it’s because of the opposing defense or if they just had a bad game.

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2 Responses to Causal- doorknob9

  1. davidbdale says:

    Let’s see, Doorknob.

    Poor quarterback play in their playoff games caused some quarterbacks to play poorly in the Super Bowl.

    Phrased this way, you could just be saying this: Some quarterbacks go on bad performance streaks. Sadly, for some, these streaks come during the playoffs and all the way to the Super Bowl. If that’s your claim, you’ll need to find a Causal explanation for Bad Play Streaks.

    Or it’s possible you mean: Some quarterbacks perform well enough against regular-season competition but aren’t good enough to carry their teams through the playoffs where they meet better opponents. Those quarterbacks make it to the Super Bowl not on their own merits but because their teams carried them. Some have even won Super Bowls without personally performing very well. If that’s your claim, your Causal explanation is already spelled out. The quarterback is not superlative, but his team is good enough to win without or despite him.

    Other quarterbacks have performed poorly in the Super Bowl because they faced strong defenses or just had bad games.

    “Plays well against strong defenses” is probably the most obvious way to define “good quarterback.” And maybe the best way to define “the worst quarterback” is “played poorly even when facing a mediocre defense.” The real challenge of proving your hypothesis is that statistics don’t help as much as we might think. A QB who completes 10/40 passes might be hungover, injured, temporarily blind in one eye, or suffering the flu. OR his favorite receivers might be out of the game. OR his offensive line is laying down, forcing him to scramble all day. OR he’s facing the best pass defenders he’s ever seen. OR the defense just matches up better than other teams against his receivers. OR he’s “the worst quarterback to play in Super Bowl history.”

    How do statistics help us determine which of the many possible CAUSES is the one that matters most on Super Bowl Sunday?

    And I have a Definition Question. Does “Jared Goff is the worst NFC West Quarterback to play in the Super Bowl,” mean he was the worst QB who made it to the Super Bowl? Or does it mean he was neither the best nor the worst QB to make it to the Super Bowl, but his performance in the Super Bowl was the worst of any NFC West QB in Super Bowl history?

    One last question, just for fun, “Who is the worst NFC West QB to WIN a Super Bowl?”

  2. doorknob9 says:

    Thank you for the feedback I’m just seeing this now because I was enjoying my break. For the definition question you asked, I’d say “Jared Goff is the worst NFC quarterback to make it to the Super Bowl due to his post season play and because of his Super Bowl performance”. The worst NFC West to win a Super Bowl in my opinion, as a Seahawks fan and with little research done, is Steve Young.

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