Counterintuitive Predictions

Posted on March 27, 2019 by davidbdale

Counterintuitive Predictions

1. True or False. What occurs in the world is not always reasonable, logical, or right. Even so, it might be true. You’ll decide whether the Premises below are True or False.

2. Reasonable or Unreasonable. People act for reasons other than logic; among them sympathy, loyalty, hope, fear, vested interest, greed, and ineptitude. You’ll decide whether the Premises below are Reasonable or Unreasonable.

3. Right or Wrong. Decisions based on logic or reason can be ethical and moral, unethical or immoral. You’ll decide whether the Premises below are Good or Bad, Ethical or Unethical, Moral or Immoral.

Your Predictions

Before hearing about the Mammogram team at Kaiser Permanente Hospital or reading the associated article, respond in three ways to the Premises below.

First: declare whether the statements made appear to be True or False (you could also answer Likely or Unlikely).

Second: declare whether the statements appear to be Reasonable or Unreasonable (or if you prefer: Batshit Crazy, or Not Insane).

Third: Declare the statements’ moral or ethical position to be Good or Bad. (If the statement doesn’t permit a moral judgment, you could still pronounce it a Good thing, or fundamentally Just Wrong.)

Respond in three ways for each Premise.

1. Likely / Batshit Crazy / Bad
2. False / Reasonable / Good
3. Unlikely / Unreasonable / Wrong
4. True / Not Crazy / Right

Of course, in paradise, the Reasonable would always be True and Good, and the Crazy would always be Untrue, and universally recognized as Bad. But we know better, don’t we? At the end of class, return to your predictions. How many of your expectations were met?

The Article

Mammogram Team Learns from its Errors

The Premises

1. Women who find out how many cancers their doctors miss in routine mammograms stop getting mammograms.
2. Radiologists who perform mammograms are held accountable for the accuracy of their readings.
3. A doctor who finds hundreds of tumors in a year and a half, but who misses 10, is almost always fired.
4. Doctors who read only a few mammograms a month are removed from film-reading teams so that they read none at all.
5. Publishing the failure rates of radiologists improves their accuracy to the best the discipline can achieve.
6. The best technique for improving diagnosis accuracy has been adopted by almost no radiology departments.
7. Congress demands that radiologists be held accountable for their accuracy at detecting tumors in mammogram films.
8. The 20,000 US doctors who read breast X-rays are trained to do so; their accuracy is known and tested.
9. The medical profession accepts that, to varying degrees, all doctors make the same mistakes.
10. Doctors who do mammographies follow up with those patients to discover whether their diagnoses were correct.
11. Doctors appreciate knowing whether they missed actual tumors or misread the “shadows and swirls” of a mammogram as a tumor.
12. The “shame” of confronting an incorrect diagnosis is a valuable teaching tool for doctors who diagnose cancers from mammograms.
13. An accuracy rate of 80% in detecting cancers from mammograms is something to brag about.
14. The best doctor to head a radiology department is a squeamish physician who trained as a lawyer and prefers not to deal with patients “and their blood.”
15. Radiology can be tracked well statistically because patients either have tumors or they don’t.
16. When the director of the radiology department discovers a way to improve the accuracy of cancer diagnoses, his method is immediately embraced by hospital administrators.
17. When New York hospitals began to publish their surgeons’ heart surgery successes and failures, the death rate fell by 40%.
18. The falling death rate meant that heart surgeons were doing more careful work.
19. Hospitals that reduce their false diagnoses proudly advertise that they “make 20% fewer errors” than their competitors.
20. Publishing the error rates of mammography radiologists results in an uncertain but significant number of cancer deaths in women who avoid testing.
21. A radiologist who is known to have missed a tumor is likely to have missed a dozen out of 3000 he declared to be tumor-free.
22. Out of those 3000, when 250 were scanned again, and 30 were biopsied, 10 were found to have cancers he had missed.
23. Finding those 10 cancers was reported as a front-page medical scandal instead of a triumph of an enlightened new technique for avoiding missed diagnoses.
24. Many of the 250 women who were told they needed followup were angry.
25. Of the ten whose cancers were missed by the first doctor but discovered in followup screenings, most sued the hospital for malpractice.
26. The doctor who missed the 10 tumors felt he had been treated unfairly, that only 3 of the cancers could be blamed on him, and that his error rate was acceptable.
27. After being fired, he was hired as a fill-in radiologist in five states bordering North Carolina.
28. The radiologists on the terminated doctor’s team supported him, not the hospital, and resent having their work scrutinized and their failure rates published.
29. While some doctors read 14,000 films a year, and others fewer than 500, failure rates are very similar.
30. Doctors who read just 500 films a year get re-assigned to other work since their sample size is too small to determine their accuracy.
31. Doctors who are “fired” from film reading based on low volume are relieved to have the diagnostic responsibility taken from them.
32. Doctors would rather bring a patient back for a second look or a biopsy than miss a tumor.
33. Doctors are much happier to find evidence on the film of a cancer that has “been around for awhile.”
34. Routinely experiencing the shame of missed diagnoses in tests every four months builds confidence in radiologists.
35. Most hospitals send out lists of actual missed tumors or “false negatives” to their radiologists every year so they can study the films they misinterpreted.
36. The Kaiser Permanente department has learned to detect various “presentations” of tumors on film by studying films of actual missed tumors after the fact.
37. In North Carolina, for every two cancers radiologists find, they miss one.
38. If the results at Kaiser Permanente were replicated nationwide, better than 80% of cancers would be found and 10,000 more cancers would be correctly detected each year.
39. False positives are easy to track, but almost nobody tracks false negatives (missed tumors that show up in later mammograms).
40. There is no routine followup for women who, on the basis of their mammograms, are determined to be tumor free.
41. Holding radiologists to a higher standard of competency results in reduced access to quality care.
42. Making failure rates public increases the likelihood of malpractice claims, which in turn drives up insurance rates, which in turn drives good doctors from the field.
43. Having two doctors instead of one review every film improves accuracy and drives down costs.
44. A nationwide 70% effectiveness rate is considered the best that can be achieved practically and politically.
45. Government oversight of physician performance to standardize techniques nationally has actually reduced accuracy.
46. Dr. Adcock, who improved effectiveness in his radiology department by 25%, took himself off the team when his volume dropped.
47. The most conscientious doctors, who agonize over the presence or absence of tumors on every film, are by far the most effective.
48. When they have a choice, women are best served by the doctors who send the largest percentage of women for biopsies because they miss the fewest cancers.
49. The best indicator of whether a doctor is competent to read mammograms is the number of times she’s been sued.
50. A good day for mammograms is Mother’s Day, when many clinics offer free or discounted exams.

The Blind Summary.

When you finish classifying the claims for Truth/Reasonableness/Goodness, in one paragraph, try to summarize the article you have not read. Use the heading “BLIND SUMMARY.”

About davidbdale

What should I call you? I prefer David or Dave, but students uncomfortable with first names can call me Professor or Mister Hodges. My ESL students' charming solution, "Mister David" is my favorite by far.
This entry was posted in Counterintuitive Predictions, davidbdale. Bookmark the permalink.

14 Responses to Counterintuitive Predictions

  1. compiistudent says:
    March 24, 2021 at 9:02 am

    Got through 41 of the claims in class

    Like

    Reply
  2. johnwick66 says:
    March 24, 2021 at 9:02 am

    Predictions made off the claims: (say whether its true/false ,reasonable/unreasonable, right or wrong
    1. Women who find out how many cancers they docs miss in their mammograms stop getting mammograms ( true, unreasonable, wrong)
    2.Radiologists who perform mammograms are held accountable for the accuracy of their readings.(false, unreasonable, wrong)
    3. A doctor who finds hundreds of tumors in a year and a half, but who misses 10, is almost always fired.(False, unreasonable, wrong)
    4. Doctors who read only a few mammograms a month are removed from film-reading teams so that they read none at all.(True , reasonable, right)
    5. Publishing the failure rates of radiologists improves their accuracy to the best the discipline can achieve.(True, reasonable, right)
    6. The best technique for improving diagnosis accuracy has been adopted by almost no radiology departments.(false, unreasonable, wrong)
    7. Congress demands that radiologists be held accountable for their accuracy at detecting tumors in mammogram films.(False, unreasonable, right)
    8. The 20,000 US doctors who read breast X-rays are trained to do so; their accuracy is known and tested.(False, reasonable, right)
    9. The medical profession accepts that, to varying degrees, all doctors make the same mistakes. (True, reasonable, wrong)
    10. Doctors who do mammographies follow up with those patients to discover whether their diagnoses were correct.(True, reasonable, right)
    11. Doctors appreciate knowing whether they missed actual tumors or misread the “shadows and swirls” of a mammogram as a tumor.(True , reasonable, right)
    12. The “shame” of confronting an incorrect diagnosis is a valuable teaching tool for doctors who diagnose cancers from mammograms.(true, reasonable, right)
    13. An accuracy rate of 80% in detecting cancers from mammograms is something to brag about. (true, reasonable, wrong)
    14. The best doctor to head a radiology department is a squeamish physician who trained as a lawyer and prefers not to deal with patients “and their blood.”(flase, unreasonable, wrong)
    15. Radiology can be tracked well statistically because patients either have tumors or they don’t.(False, unreasonable, wrong)
    16. When the director of the radiology department discovers a way to improve the accuracy of cancer diagnoses, his method is immediately embraced by hospital administrators.(false, reasonable, right)
    17. When New York hospitals began to publish their surgeons’ heart surgery successes and failures, the death rate fell by 40%.(True, reasonable, wrong)
    18. The falling death rate meant that heart surgeons were doing more careful work.(True, reasonable, right)
    19. Hospitals that reduce their false diagnoses proudly advertise that they “make 20% fewer errors” than their competitors.(False, unreasonable ,wrong)
    20. Publishing the error rates of mammography radiologists results in an uncertain but significant number of cancer deaths in women who avoid testing.(true, unreasonable , right)
    21. A radiologist who is known to have missed a tumor is likely to have missed a dozen out of 3000 he declared to be tumor-free.(false, reasonable, right)
    22. Out of those 3000, when 250 were scanned again, and 30 were biopsied, 10 were found to have cancers he had missed.(True, reasonable, right)
    23. Finding those 10 cancers was reported as a front-page medical scandal instead of a triumph of an enlightened new technique for avoiding missed diagnoses.(True, unreasonable, wrong)
    24. Many of the 250 women who were told they needed followup were angry.(True, reasonable, right)
    25. Of the ten whose cancers were missed by the first doctor but discovered in followup screenings, most sued the hospital for malpractice.(True, reasonable, right)
    26. The doctor who missed the 10 tumors felt he had been treated unfairly, that only 3 of the cancers could be blamed on him, and that his error rate was acceptable.(True, reasonable, wrong)
    27. After being fired, he was hired as a fill-in radiologist in five states bordering North Carolina.(True, reasonable, right)
    28. The radiologists on the terminated doctor’s team supported him, not the hospital, and resent having their work scrutinized and their failure rates published.(True, reasonable , right)
    29. While some doctors read 14,000 films a year, and others fewer than 500, failure rates are very similar. (False, unreasonable, right)
    30. Doctors who read just 500 films a year get re-assigned to other work since their sample size is too small to determine their accuracy.(false, reasonable, right)

    Like

    Reply
  3. christianity19 says:
    March 24, 2021 at 9:02 am
    1. True/Unreasonable/bad Women who find out how many cancers their doctors miss in routine mammograms stop getting mammograms.
    2. True/Reasonable/Good Radiologists who perform mammograms are held accountable for the accuracy of their readings.
    3. False/Unreasonable/Bad A doctor who finds hundreds of tumors in a year and a half, but who misses 10, is almost always fired.
    4. False/Unreasonable/Bad Doctors who read only a few mammograms a month are removed from film-reading teams so that they read none at all.
    5. False/Unreasonable/Bad Publishing the failure rates of radiologists improves their accuracy to the best the discipline can achieve.
    6. False/Unreasonable/Bad The best technique for improving diagnosis accuracy has been adopted by almost no radiology departments.
    7. true/reasonable/good Congress demands that radiologists be held accountable for their accuracy at detecting tumors in mammogram films.
    8. true/reasonable/good The 20,000 US doctors who read breast X-rays are trained to do so; their accuracy is known and tested.
    9. true/reasonable/good The medical profession accepts that, to varying degrees, all doctors make the same mistakes.
    10. true/reasonable/good Doctors who do mammographers follow up with those patients to discover whether their diagnoses were correct.
    11. False/Unreasonable/Bad appreciate knowing whether they missed actual tumors or misread the “shadows and swirls” of a mammogram as a tumor.
    12. True/Reasonable/Right The “shame” of confronting an incorrect diagnosis is a valuable teaching tool for doctors who diagnose cancers from mammograms.
    13. False/Reasonable/Wrong An accuracy rate of 80% in detecting cancers from mammograms is something to brag about.
    14. True/Reasonable/Right The best doctor to head a radiology department is a squeamish physician who trained as a lawyer and prefers not to deal with patients “and their blood.”
    15. True/Reasonable/Right Radiology can be tracked well statistically because patients either have tumors or they don’t.
    16. True/Reasonable/Right When the director of the radiology department discovers a way to improve the accuracy of cancer diagnoses, his method is immediately embraced by hospital administrators.
    17. False/Unreasonable/Bad When New York hospitals began to publish their surgeons’ heart surgery successes and failures, the death rate fell by 40%.
    18. True/Reasonable/Right The falling death rate meant that heart surgeons were doing more careful work.
    19. True/Reasonable/Right Hospitals that reduce their false diagnoses proudly advertise that they “make 20% fewer errors” than their competitors.
    20. False/Unreasonable/Bad Publishing the error rates of mammography radiologists results in an uncertain but significant number of cancer deaths in women who avoid testing.
    21. True/Reasonable/Right A radiologist who is known to have missed a tumor is likely to have missed a dozen out of 3000 he declared to be tumor-free.
    22. False/Unreasonable/Bad Out of those 3000, when 250 were scanned again, and 30 were biopsied, 10 were found to have cancers he had missed.
    23. True/Reasonable/Right Finding those 10 cancers was reported as a front-page medical scandal instead of a triumph of an enlightened new technique for avoiding missed diagnoses.
    24. True/Reasonable/Right Many of the 250 women who were told they needed follow up were angry.
      25.True/Reasonable/Right Of the ten whose cancers were missed by the first doctor but discovered in follow up screenings, most sued the hospital for malpractice.
    25. True/Reasonable/Right The doctor who missed the 10 tumors felt he had been treated unfairly, that only 3 of the cancers could be blamed on him, and that his error rate was acceptable.
    26. False/Unreasonable/Bad After being fired, he was hired as a fill-in radiologist in five states bordering North Carolina.
    27. False/Unreasonable/Bad The radiologists on the terminated doctor’s team supported him, not the hospital, and resent having their work scrutinized and their failure rates published.
    28. True/Reasonable/Right While some doctors read 14,000 films a year, and others fewer than 500, failure rates are very similar.
    29. True/Reasonable/Right Doctors who read just 500 films a year get re-assigned to other work since their sample size is too small to determine their accuracy.
    30. True/Reasonable/Right Doctors who are “fired” from film reading based on low volume are relieved to have the diagnostic responsibility taken from them.
    31. True/Reasonable/Right Doctors would rather bring a patient back for a second look or a biopsy than miss a tumor.
    32. True/Reasonable/Right Doctors are much happier to find evidence on the film of a cancer that has “been around for awhile.”
    33. True/Reasonable/Right Routinely experiencing the shame of missed diagnoses in tests every four months builds confidence in radiologists.
    34. False/Unreasonable/Bad Most hospitals send out lists of actual missed tumors or “false negatives” to their radiologists every year so they can study the films they misinterpreted.
    35. False/Unreasonable/Bad The Kaiser Permanente department has learned to detect various “presentations” of tumors on film by studying films of actual missed tumors after the fact.
    36. False/Unreasonable/Bad In North Carolina, for every two cancers radiologists find, they miss one.
    37. True/Reasonable/Right If the results at Kaiser Permanente were replicated nationwide, better than 80% of cancers would be found and 10,000 more cancers would be correctly detected each year.
    38. True/Reasonable/Right False positives are easy to track, but almost nobody tracks false negatives (missed tumors that show up in later mammograms).
    39. True/Reasonable/Right There is no routine follow up for women who, on the basis of their mammograms, are determined to be tumor free.
    40. True/Reasonable/Right Holding radiologists to a higher standard of competency results in reduced access to quality care.
    41. False/Unreasonable/Bad Making failure rates public increases the likelihood of malpractice claims, which in turn drives up insurance rates, which in turn drives good doctors from the field.
    42. True/Reasonable/Right Having two doctors instead of one review every film improves accuracy and drives down costs.
    43. True/Reasonable/Right A nationwide 70% effectiveness rate is considered the best that can be achieved practically and politically.
    44. False/Unreasonable/Bad Government oversight of physician performance to standardize techniques nationally has actually reduced accuracy.
    45. True/Reasonable/Right Dr. Adcock, who improved effectiveness in his radiology department by 25%, took himself off the team when his volume dropped.
    46. True/Reasonable/Right The most conscientious doctors, who agonize over the presence or absence of tumors on every film, are by far the most effective.
    47. False/Unreasonable/Bad When they have a choice, women are best served by the doctors who send the largest percentage of women for biopsies because they miss the fewest cancers.
    48. True/Reasonable/Right The best indicator of whether a doctor is competent to read mammograms is the number of times she’s been sued.
    49. False/Unreasonable/Bad A good day for mammograms is Mother’s Day, when many clinics offer free or discounted exams.

    Like

    Reply
  4. person345 says:
    March 24, 2021 at 9:03 am
    1. Women who find out how many cancers their doctors miss in routine mammograms stop getting mammograms. True, reasonable, right morally.
    2. Radiologists who perform mammograms are held accountable for the accuracy of their readings.
      True, reasonable, right morally
    3. A doctor who finds hundreds of tumors in a year and a half, but who misses 10, is almost always fired. False not reasonable, wrong morally
    4. Doctors who read only a few mammograms a month are removed from film-reading teams so that they read none at all.
      True reasonable, right morally
    5. Publishing the failure rates of radiologists improves their accuracy to the best the discipline can achieve.
      False, not reasonable, wrong morally
    6. The best technique for improving diagnosis accuracy has been adopted by almost no radiology departments.
      False, not reasonable, wrong
    7. Congress demands that radiologists be held accountable for their accuracy at detecting tumors in mammogram films. True/ reasonable/right
    8. The 20,000 US doctors who read breast X-rays are trained to do so; their accuracy is known and tested. true/ reasonable/ right
    9. The medical profession accepts that, to varying degrees, all doctors make the same mistakes.
      true/ reasonable/ right
    10. Doctors who do mammographies follow up with those patients to discover whether their diagnoses were correct. true/ reasonable/ right
    11. Doctors appreciate knowing whether they missed actual tumors or misread the “shadows and swirls” of a mammogram as a tumor. true/ reasonable/ right
    12. The “shame” of confronting an incorrect diagnosis is a valuable teaching tool for doctors who diagnose cancers from mammograms. true/ reasonable/ right
    13. An accuracy rate of 80% in detecting cancers from mammograms is something to brag about. false/ not reasonable/ wrong
    14. The best doctor to head a radiology department is a squeamish physician who trained as a lawyer and prefers not to deal with patients “and their blood.” false/ not reasonable/ wrong
    15. Radiology can be tracked well statistically because patients either have tumors or they don’t.
      true/ reasonable/ right
    16. When the director of the radiology department discovers a way to improve the accuracy of cancer diagnoses, his method is immediately embraced by hospital administrators. true/ reasonable/ right
    17. When New York hospitals began to publish their surgeons’ heart surgery successes and failures, the death rate fell by 40%. true/ reasonable/ right
    18. The falling death rate meant that heart surgeons were doing more careful work. true/ reasonable/ right
    19. Hospitals that reduce their false diagnoses proudly advertise that they “make 20% fewer errors” than their competitors. false/ not reasonable/ wrong
    20. Publishing the error rates of mammography radiologists results in an uncertain but significant number of cancer deaths in women who avoid testing. false/ not reasonable/ wrong
    21. A radiologist who is known to have missed a tumor is likely to have missed a dozen out of 3000 he declared to be tumor-free. false/ not reasonable/ wrong
    22. Out of those 3000, when 250 were scanned again, and 30 were biopsied, 10 were found to have cancers he had missed. true/ reasonable/ right
    23. Finding those 10 cancers was reported as a front-page medical scandal instead of a triumph of an enlightened new technique for avoiding missed diagnoses. false/ not reasonable/ wrong
    24. Many of the 250 women who were told they needed followup were angry. false/ unreasonable/ wrong
    25. Of the ten whose cancers were missed by the first doctor but discovered in followup screenings, most sued the hospital for malpractice. false/ unreasonable/ wrong
    26. The doctor who missed the 10 tumors felt he had been treated unfairly, that only 3 of the cancers could be blamed on him, and that his error rate was acceptable. false/ unreasonable/ wrong
    27. After being fired, he was hired as a fill-in radiologist in five states bordering North Carolina.
      true/ reasonable/ right
    28. The radiologists on the terminated doctor’s team supported him, not the hospital, and resent having their work scrutinized and their failure rates published. false/ unreasonable/ wrong
    29. While some doctors read 14,000 films a year, and others fewer than 500, failure rates are very similar. true/ reasonable/ right
    30. Doctors who read just 500 films a year get re-assigned to other work since their sample size is too small to determine their accuracy. true/ reasonable/ right
    31. Doctors who are “fired” from film reading based on low volume are relieved to have the diagnostic responsibility taken from them. true/ reasonable/ right
    32. Doctors would rather bring a patient back for a second look or a biopsy than miss a tumor.
      true/ reasonable/ right

    Got to 32 claims.

    Like

    Reply
  5. honeysucklelilac says:
    March 24, 2021 at 9:03 am
    1. true/unreasonable/wrong
    2. false/unreasonable/wrong
    3. true/unreasonable/right
    4. false/reasonable/right
    5. false/reasonable/wrong
    6. true/reasonable/wrong
    7. false/reasonable/right
    8. true/reasonable/right
    9. true/reasonable/wrong
    10. false/unreasonable/wrong
    11. false/reasonable/right
    12. true/reasonable/right
    13. false/reasonable/right
    14. false/unreasonable/wrong
    15. true/unreasonable/wrong
    16. false/unreasonable/wrong
    17. true/unreasonable/right
    18. true/reasonable/wrong
    19. false/reasonable/wrong
    20. true/unreasonable/wrong
    21. true/reasonable/wrong
    22. true/reasonable/right
    23. true/reasonable/wrong
    24. true/reasonable/right
    25. true/reasonable/right
    26. true/reasonable/wrong
    27. true/reasonable/wrong
    28. true/reasonable/wrong
    29. true/unreasonable/wrong
    30. true/unreasonable/wrong
    31. true/reasonable/wrong
    32. true/reasonable/right
    33. false/unreasonable/wrong
    34. false/reasonable/right
    35. false/reasonable/right
    36. false/reasonable/right
    37. true/unreasonable/wrong
    38. true/reasonable/right
    39. false/unreasonable/wrong
    40. true/unreasonable/wrong
    41. false/unreasonable/wrong
    42. true/reasonable/right
    43. false/reasonable/right
    44. true/unreasonable/wrong
    45. true/reasonable/wrong
    46. true/reasonable/right
    47. false/reasonable/wrong
    48. true/reasonable/right
    49. false/reasonable/wrong
    50. true/reasonable/right

    Like

    Reply
  6. iwantpopsicle says:
    March 24, 2021 at 9:04 am

    1.True/Unreasonable/Wrong
    2.False/Reasonable/Right
    3.Unlikely/Reasonable/Right
    4.Likely/Reasonable/Right
    5.True/Reasonable/Right
    6.True/Reasonable/Wrong
    7.False/Unreasonable/Wrong
    8.True/Reasonable/Right
    9.True/Unreasonable/Wrong
    10.True/Reasonable/Right
    11.True/Reasonable/Right
    12.Likely/Reasonable/Right
    13.False/Reasonable/Wrong
    14. False/Unreasonable/Wrong
    15. False/Unreasonable/Neutral
    16. False/Reasonable/Right
    17. True/Reasonable/Right
    18.True/Reasonable/Right
    19.True/Unreasonable/Wrong
    20.False/Unreasonable/Wrong
    21.Likely/Reasonable/Right
    22.True/Reasonable/Right
    23.True/Unreasonable/Wrong
    24.Likely/Reasonable/Wrong
    25.Likely/Reasonable/Right
    26.True/Reasonable/Right
    27.Likely/Unreasonable/Wrong
    28.True/Reasonable/Right
    29.Likely/Unreasonable/Right
    30.False/Reasonable/Right
    31.True/Unreasonable/Wrong
    32.True/Reasonable/Right
    33.False/Unreasonable/Wrong
    34.Likely/Reasonable/Neutral
    35.Likely/Reasonable/Right
    36.Likely/Reasonable/Right
    37.Likely/Reasonable/Wrong
    38.True/Reasonable/Right
    39.Likely/Unreasonable/Wrong
    40.False/Unreasonable/Wrong
    41.False/Unreasonable/Wrong
    42.Likely/Unreasonable/Wrong
    43.True/Reasonable/Right
    44.Likely/Unreasonable/Wrong
    45.Likely/Unreasonable/Wrong
    46.True/Unreasonable/Wrong
    47.True/Reasonable/Right
    48.True/Reasonable/Right
    49.Likely/Reasonable/Neutral
    50.True/Reasonable/Right

    Blind Summary:
    This article is probably about the accuracy of mammograms, and the failure rates and reliability of doctors. Doctors are being criticized because they have been giving a lot of false-negatives or false-positives. Some people are saying that pressuring doctors to do better can improve their success rates.

    Like

    Reply
  7. justheretopass says:
    March 24, 2021 at 9:04 am

    1 True, unreasonable, wrong
    2 False, unreasonable, wrong
    3 False, reasonable, right
    4 False, unreasonable, wrong
    5 True, reasonable, right
    6 True, reasonable, right
    7 true , reasonable, right
    8 False, reasonable, right
    9 True, reasonable, wrong
    10 False, reasonable, right
    11 False, reasonable,wrong
    12 True, unreasonable,right
    13 True, reasonable, wrong
    14 False, unreasonable,wrong
    15 False, unreasonable, wrong
    16 True,, reasonable, right
    17 True, reasonable, right
    18 False, reasonable,right
    19 True, unreasonable, wrong
    20 True, unreasonable, right
    21 True, unreasonable, wrong
    22 True, unreasonable, wrong
    23 True, reasonable, right
    24 True, reasonable, wrong
    25 True, reasonable,right
    26 True, unreasonable, wrong
    27 True, unreasonable,wrong
    28 True, unreasonable, wrong
    29 False, reasonable, right
    30 True, reasonable, right
    31 False, reasonable, wrong
    32 True, reasonable, right

    Like

    Reply
  8. mrmba1 says:
    March 24, 2021 at 9:07 am
    1. True/ unreasonable/ wrong
    2. False/ unreasonable/ wrong
    3. False/ unreasonable/ wrong
    4. True/ reasonable/ right
    5. False/ reasonable/ right
    6. False/ unreasonable/ wrong
    7. False/ reasonable/ right
    8. False/ reasonable/ right
    9. True/ unreasonable/ wrong
    10. False/ reasonable/ right
    11. True/ reasonable/ right
    12. True/ reasonable/ right
    13. Maybe/ somewhat unreasonable/ wrong
    14. True/ unreasonable/ wrong
    15. False/ unreasonable/ wrong
    16. False/ unreasonable/ wrong
    17. True/ reasonable/ right
    18. True/ reasonable/ right
    19. True/ somewhat reasonable/ right
    20. True/ unreasonable/ wrong
    21. True/ unreasonable/ wrong
    22. True/ unreasonable/ wrong
    23. True/ unreasonable/ wrong
    24. True/ reasonable/ wrong
    25. True/ unreasonable/ wrong
    26. True/ somewhat unreasonable/ wrong
    27. True/ unreasonable/ wrong
    28. True/ somewhat reasonable/ wrong
    29. True/ unreasonable/ wrong
    30. True/ reasonable/ wrong
    31. True/ reasonable/ wrong
    32. True/ reasonable/ right
    33. True/ somewhat reasonable/ wrong
    34. False/ reasonable/ wrong
    35. True/ reasonable/ right
    36. True/ reasonable/ right
    37. True/ unreasonable/ wrong
    38. True/ reasonable/ right
    39. False/ unreasonable/ wrong
    40. False/ reasonable/ wrong
    41. False/ unreasonable/ wrong
    42. False/ unreasonable/ wrong
    43. False/ reasonable/ right
    44. True/ unreasonable/ right
    45. True/ unreasonable/ wrong
    46. True/ reasonable/ somewhat wrong
    47. False/ reasonable/ right
    48. True/ somewhat reasonable/ right
    49. False/ reasonable/ right
    50. False/ reasonable/ right

    Summary:
    Many mammogram readings are highly inaccurate, however the doctors and readers feel they are trying their best. Many women are extremely upset with the amount of false readings, both negative and positive, and hospitals are trying to improve their accuracy rates as best they can. This leads to higher costs and longer reads, however it’s better to be more accurate now than miss something and have to have someone come in for multiple readings. Doctors are rarely held accountable or punished for false readings, but hospitals themselves are publishing the success rates publicly in an attempt to push their doctors to perform better.

    Like

    Reply
  9. carsonwentz1186 says:
    March 24, 2021 at 9:14 am
    1. True/Unreasonable/Bad
    2. False/Reasonable/Bad
    3. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    4. False/Reasonable/Good
    5. True/Reasonable/Good
    6. True/Unreasonable/Bad
    7. False/Reasonable/Good
    8. False/Reasonable/Good
    9. True/Unreasonable/Bad
    10. False/Reasonable/Good
    11. True/Reasonable/Good
    12. True/Reasonable/Good
    13. False/Reasonable/Bad
    14. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    15. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    16. False/Reasonable/Good
    17. True/Reasonable/Good
    18. True/Reasonable/Good
    19. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    20. True/Unreasonable/Bad
    21. True/Reasonable/Bad
    22. False/Reasonable/Bad
    23. True/Reasonable/Bad
    24. True/Reasonable/Bad
    25. True/Reasonable/Bad
    26. True/Unreasonable/Bad
    27. False/Reasonable/Bad
    28. True/Unreasonable/Bad
    29. False/Reasonable/Bad
    30. False/Reasonable/Bad
    31. True/Reasonable/Good
    32. True/Reasonable/Good
    33. False/Unreasonable/Bad (may have read this one wrong)
    34. False/Reasonable/Good
    35. False/Reasonable/Good
    36. True/Reasonable/Good
    37. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    38. True/Reasonable/Good
    39. True/Reasonable/Bad
    40. True/Reasonable/Bad
    41. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    42. True/Reasonable/Bad
    43. False/Reasonable/Good
    44. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    45. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    46. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    47. True/Reasonable/Good
    48. True/Reasonable/Good
    49. False/Reasonable/Bad
    50. False/Unreasonable/Bad

    BLIND SUMMARY:
    This article is most likely about the dropping accuracy of mammograms in our nations hospitals. A doctor who was just hired into a hospital with an astonishingly low accuracy rate instituted a shame tactic to try and raise accuracy rates and eliminate the weak links of his radiology departments. By doing this, he was successfully able to raise the accuracy rates in his hospital and achieve his goal. It is commonly believed by the general public that this tactic should be used in all hospitals, however that is not the case due to doctors not wanting to be publicly shamed by posting their negative results. By instituting this policy, the accuracy rates of mammograms will rise and the lawsuits of falsely diagnosed women will drop.

    Like

    Reply
  10. rowanrat says:
    March 24, 2021 at 9:15 am

    1-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    2-true/not crazy/right
    3-unlikely/unreasonable/wrong
    4-true/not crazy/right
    5-true/not crazy/right
    6-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    7-true/not crazy/right
    8-true/not crazy/right
    9-true/not crazy/right
    10-true/not crazy/right
    11-true/not crazy/right
    12-true/not crazy/right
    13-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    14-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    15-true/not crazy/right
    16-true/not crazy/right
    17-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    18-unlikely/unreasonable/wrong
    19-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    20-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    21-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    22-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    23-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    24-true/not crazy/right
    25-true/not crazy/right
    26-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    27-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    28-true/not crazy/right
    29-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    30-true/not crazy/right
    31-true/not crazy/right
    32-true/not crazy/right
    33-unlikely/unreasonable/wrong
    34-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    35-true/not crazy/right
    36-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    37-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    38-true/not crazy/right
    39-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    40-unlikely/unreasonable/wrong
    41-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    42-true/not crazy/right
    43-true/not crazy/right
    44-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    45-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    46-likely/batshit crazy/bad
    47-true/not crazy/right
    48-true/not crazy/right
    49-true/not crazy/right
    50-true/not crazy/right

    Like

    Reply
  11. johnwick66 says:
    March 24, 2021 at 9:26 am

    Blind summary: Radiologist are expected to correctly find a certain percentage of tumors out of the total amount they scan for(likely around 70%) A doctor discovered a new way to search for cancer tumors through mammograms, which resulted in hundreds of correct predictions of tumors. Rather than accept this new technique, the hospital publicly posted about his missed readings(about ten) a as a medical scandal. Which resulted in him being fired. His colleges and him feel as if they were unfairly treated in regards to their findings. Some of the 10 women who got tested again and turned out to have tumors sued the hospital for malpractice.

    Like

    Reply
  12. justheretopass says:
    March 24, 2021 at 9:48 am

    This article is most likely about a group of doctors who have misread and misdiagnosed the mammograms. This article talks about how sometimes its not always the doctors fault for misreading the mammograms but sometimes their technology isn’t up to par. This hospital at where the doctors work at doesn’t seem to stable especially after they made their data public. The data caused a lot of pressure on the doctors to be that high example in New York which caused them to get careless.

    Like

    Reply
  13. icedcoffeeislife says:
    March 24, 2021 at 12:34 pm
    1. True/Unreasonable/Bad
    2. True/Reasonable/Good
    3. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    4. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    5. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    6. True/Unreasonable/Bad
    7. True/Reasonable/Good
    8. True/Reasonable/Good
    9. True/Reasonable/Good
    10. True/Reasonable/Good
    11. False/Reasonable/Good
    12. True/Reasonable/Wrong
    13. False/Reasonable/Wrong
    14. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    15. False/Reasonable/Good
    16. False/Reasonable/Good
    17. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    18. True/Unreasonable/Good
    19. True/Reasonable/Right
    20. True/Reasonable/Right
    21. True/Reasonable/Right
    22. True/Reasonable/Good
    23. True/Unreasonable/Wrong
    24. True/Reasonable/Right
    25. True/Unreasonable/Wrong
    26. True/Reasonable/Good
    27. True/Unreasonable/Wrong
    28. True/Reasonable/Right
    29. True/Reasonable/Good
    30. True/Reasonable/Good
    31. True/Reasonable/Right
    32. True/Reasonable/Right
    33. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    34. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    35. True/Reasonable/Good
    36. True/Reasonable/Good
    37. True/Unreasonable/Bad
    38. True/Reasonable/Good
    39. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    40. True/Unreasonable/Wrong
    41. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    42. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    43. True/Reasonable/Good
    44. True/Reasonable/Bad
    45. False/Unreasonable/Bad
    46. True/Unreasonable/Wrong
    47. True/Reasonable/Good
    48. True/Reasonable/Good
    49. False/Reasonable/Wrong
    50. True/Reasonable/Wrong
      Blind review:
      The article focuses on the effectiveness of mammograms. There have been ongoing challenges where there have been accidentally missed reading of women’s scans, where some were told that they were fin, when in reality that their canner was missed. This forced on the effectiveness that radiologists need to do a better job at reading scans, while also putting pressure on a doctor to be able to count on their radiologist to proved the correct diagnoses to their patients.

    Like

    Reply
  14. rowanrat says:
    March 29, 2021 at 8:24 am

    Blind summary: Diagnoses accuracy of mammograms is a significant issue when detecting cancer. There is simply not enough being done to ensure the accuracy of these diagnosis. Whether there are missed tumors or unfollowed mammograms, there are people walking around having cancer without their knowledge. Further, there is little being done to enforce better performance on mammograms by radiologists. There is one technique, however, that proved to be successful. But instead of viewing it that way, being that he missed ten tumors, and with the requirement for follow ups, he was sued for malpractice.

    Like

    Reply

Leave a comment